September 17, 2021, 01:26:29 AM

Author Topic: Anybody else have terrible luck in drawing tags?  (Read 1128 times)

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Offline ribo451

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Anybody else have terrible luck in drawing tags?
« on: July 01, 2021, 08:45:33 PM »
Idaho big game draw results came out today and once again I swung and missed. I put in for a really great elk tag so wasn't surprised not to draw that one. I also put in for an extra antlerless whitetail tag and didn't draw that one either. Last year the odds on drawing it were really high. Something like 85%. Everyone I know that put in for it drew it except me. This year I don't know what the odds on drawing were yet but I do know that everyone I know who put in for it drew it. Except me. (9 people)

I've drawn 4-5 extra doe tags but every time I've drawn one the drawing odds have been 100%. I've put in for several others with drawing odds ranging from 75-90% and haven't drawn a one.
I also have been putting in for a buck tag for several years now that statistically I should have drawn 3 times and I've drawn it 0. I also know several people that have drawn that tag multiple times. It's kind of annoying.

I did draw a moose tag after 8 tries that statistically should have taken 8 tries so I'm happy about that.
Anyone else cursed on drawing in areas that have no preference or bonus points?

Offline Army of Dad

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Re: Anybody else have terrible luck in drawing tags?
« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2021, 04:28:19 PM »
Hmm, I have below average luck in drawing tags most years.

I did draw an Oklahoma cow elk tag this year so maybe my luck is changing...


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Offline ribo451

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Re: Anybody else have terrible luck in drawing tags?
« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2021, 10:42:39 AM »
Maybe I spoke too soon. I didn't draw that tag two years in a row with draw odds of 75% and 83% but I drew it this year in the second drawing for unclaimed tags. They haven't released the draw odds for that yet but it's usually less that 20% on the second drawing.

Offline Wyo67

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Re: Anybody else have terrible luck in drawing tags?
« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2021, 07:49:24 AM »
I live close to Wyoming elk area 7.  High quality bulls with 20-25% draw odds for residents.  I've drawn it once in 12 years, so yeah...

 

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